Insights / kr
192820
코스맥스KR04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.17%
P05–P95 span
22.28%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.55
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-18.37%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.78%P25: -4.21%P50: -1.17%P75: 1.52%P95: 11.50%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.