Insights / kr
192820
코스맥스KR04/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.22%
P05–P95 span
15.50%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-13.24%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.65%P25: -1.11%P50: 0.22%P75: 1.27%P95: 10.85%
Computed at: 04/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.