Insights / kr
192820
코스맥스KR04/22/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.31%
P05–P95 span
26.02%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.48
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.91%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.31%P25: -2.27%P50: 0.31%P75: 3.91%P95: 14.71%
Computed at: 04/22/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.