Insights / kr
192820
코스맥스KR04/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.98%
P05–P95 span
24.54%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.51
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.07%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.82%P25: -0.71%P50: 0.98%P75: 5.33%P95: 19.71%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 13.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.