Insights / kr

185750

종근당KR06/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

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Median move
-1.52%
P05–P95 span
9.28%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-9.94%
Outer 90%
1/5(20%)
Middle 50%
0/5(0%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.63%P25: -2.74%P50: -1.52%P75: 0.48%P95: 2.65%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.