Insights / kr
180640
한진칼KR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.93%
P05–P95 span
12.21%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+4.96%
Outer 90%
4/6(67%)
Middle 50%
3/6(50%)
Above median
3/6(50%)
Below median
3/6(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.27%P25: 0.00%P50: 1.93%P75: 4.05%P95: 7.94%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.