180640

한진칼KR05/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.51%
P05–P95 span
11.28%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+6.28%
Outer 90%
5/8(63%)
Middle 50%
1/8(13%)
Above median
6/8(75%)
Below median
2/8(25%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.86%P25: -1.31%P50: 0.51%P75: 2.08%P95: 5.42%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.