Insights / kr
180640
한진칼KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.82%
P05–P95 span
12.35%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.03%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.39%P25: -2.61%P50: -0.82%P75: 0.71%P95: 2.96%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.