Insights / kr
180640
한진칼KR05/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.45%
P05–P95 span
24.12%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.22%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.40%P25: -3.33%P50: 0.45%P75: 2.23%P95: 14.72%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.