Insights / kr
180640
한진칼KR05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.31%
P05–P95 span
13.11%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.57%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.14%P25: -3.59%P50: 0.31%P75: 2.20%P95: 5.97%
Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.