Insights / kr
180640
한진칼KR05/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.59%
P05–P95 span
16.23%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.96%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.83%P25: -2.44%P50: -0.59%P75: 1.47%P95: 6.40%
Computed at: 05/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.