Insights / kr
180640
한진칼KR04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.77%
P05–P95 span
10.88%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.01%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.44%P25: -2.72%P50: -0.77%P75: 1.92%P95: 5.43%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.