Insights / kr
180640
한진칼KR04/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.39%
P05–P95 span
15.33%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.19%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.49%P25: -5.52%P50: -1.39%P75: 0.52%P95: 4.84%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.