Insights / kr
161890
한국콜마KR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.25%
P05–P95 span
27.89%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.44
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.13%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -23.26%P25: -6.40%P50: -1.25%P75: 1.96%P95: 4.64%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.