161390

한국타이어앤테크놀로지KR04/16/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.14%
P05–P95 span
11.22%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.16%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.06%P25: -1.15%P50: 1.14%P75: 3.75%P95: 7.17%

Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 23.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.