Insights / kr
145720
덴티움KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.11%
P05–P95 span
12.78%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.53%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.48%P25: -6.70%P50: -2.11%P75: -0.13%P95: 3.30%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.