Insights / kr
145720
덴티움KR04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.47%
P05–P95 span
20.31%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.93%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.50%P25: -2.48%P50: 0.47%P75: 3.67%P95: 10.81%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 39.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.