Insights / kr
145720
덴티움KR04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.45%
P05–P95 span
26.84%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.46
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.43%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.36%P25: -1.13%P50: 0.45%P75: 3.23%P95: 22.48%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 24.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.