139480

이마트KR06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.43%
P05–P95 span
19.96%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+0.91%
Outer 90%
4/6(67%)
Middle 50%
3/6(50%)
Above median
2/6(33%)
Below median
4/6(67%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.33%P25: -0.76%P50: 1.43%P75: 3.76%P95: 15.63%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.