139480

이마트KR05/27/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.34%
P05–P95 span
39.37%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.21
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-0.45%
Outer 90%
8/9(89%)
Middle 50%
5/9(56%)
Above median
5/9(56%)
Below median
4/9(44%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.24%P25: -3.64%P50: 0.34%P75: 1.98%P95: 31.13%

Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.