139480

이마트KR05/25/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.68%
P05–P95 span
16.40%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.58%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.51%P25: -2.68%P50: -0.68%P75: 1.54%P95: 9.90%

Computed at: 05/25/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.