Insights / kr
139480
이마트KR05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.29%
P05–P95 span
35.01%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.30
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.94%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.67%P25: -2.59%P50: -1.29%P75: 0.42%P95: 26.33%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.