Insights / kr
139480
이마트KR05/11/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.38%
P05–P95 span
28.72%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.43
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-22.58%
Outer 90%
1/10(10%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.27%P25: -1.42%P50: 1.38%P75: 4.49%P95: 21.45%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.