139480

이마트KR04/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.65%
P05–P95 span
43.57%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.13
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.08%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.57%P25: -1.47%P50: 0.65%P75: 2.89%P95: 35.00%

Computed at: 04/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.