139130

iM금융지주KR05/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.33%
P05–P95 span
18.04%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.60%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.27%P25: -4.13%P50: -1.33%P75: 1.18%P95: 7.77%

Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.