139130

iM금융지주KR04/16/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.85%
P05–P95 span
10.17%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.21%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.51%P25: -1.10%P50: 0.85%P75: 1.94%P95: 4.66%

Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.