138930

BNK금융지주KR04/05/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.47%
P05–P95 span
47.31%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.05
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.28%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.64%P25: -4.51%P50: -0.47%P75: 3.64%P95: 38.67%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 8.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.