Insights / kr
114090
GKLKR06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
21.07%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+6.03%
Outer 90%
4/4(100%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
3/4(75%)
Below median
1/4(25%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.95%P25: -1.95%P50: 0.00%P75: 2.14%P95: 13.13%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.