112610

씨에스윈드KR05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.08%
P05–P95 span
18.72%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-23.43%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.02%P25: -4.72%P50: -1.08%P75: 1.56%P95: 8.70%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 30.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.