112610

씨에스윈드KR04/06/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.41%
P05–P95 span
13.14%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.63%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.96%P25: -2.17%P50: -0.41%P75: 0.82%P95: 4.18%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 11.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.