Insights / kr
111770
영원무역KR04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.65%
P05–P95 span
24.90%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.27%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.87%P25: -3.88%P50: -0.65%P75: 4.00%P95: 16.02%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.