Insights / kr
111770
영원무역KR04/22/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.10%
P05–P95 span
16.24%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.24%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.44%P25: -2.41%P50: 0.10%P75: 5.84%P95: 11.80%
Computed at: 04/22/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.