105560

KB금융KR05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.09%
P05–P95 span
14.43%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.32%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.37%P25: -0.73%P50: 1.09%P75: 3.43%P95: 10.06%

Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.3 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.