Insights / kr
103140
풍산KR04/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.83%
P05–P95 span
9.67%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.03%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.74%P25: -3.41%P50: -0.83%P75: 0.76%P95: 2.93%
Computed at: 04/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.