103140

풍산KR04/05/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.40%
P05–P95 span
29.79%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.40
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.37%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.77%P25: -4.18%P50: -0.40%P75: 6.12%P95: 19.02%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 15.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.