097950

CJ제일제당KR04/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.07%
P05–P95 span
8.36%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.58%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.26%P25: -2.42%P50: -1.07%P75: 1.12%P95: 4.10%

Computed at: 04/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.