097950

CJ제일제당KR04/06/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+3.91%
P05–P95 span
26.19%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.48
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.37%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.33%P25: 0.00%P50: 3.91%P75: 7.17%P95: 20.86%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.