096770

SK이노베이션KR05/27/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.93%
P05–P95 span
15.83%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-12.32%
Outer 90%
6/9(67%)
Middle 50%
3/9(33%)
Above median
1/9(11%)
Below median
8/9(89%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.56%P25: -1.31%P50: 0.93%P75: 3.59%P95: 7.27%

Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.