096770

SK이노베이션KR04/22/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.32%
P05–P95 span
22.85%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.34%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -13.00%P25: -1.38%P50: 2.32%P75: 5.51%P95: 9.86%

Computed at: 04/22/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.