096770

SK이노베이션KR04/06/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.90%
P05–P95 span
29.86%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.40
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.88%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.84%P25: -4.22%P50: 0.90%P75: 6.95%P95: 19.02%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 8.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.