Insights / kr

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후성KR06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

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Median move
-0.44%
P05–P95 span
10.05%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+47.38%
Outer 90%
0/3(0%)
Middle 50%
0/3(0%)
Above median
3/3(100%)
Below median
0/3(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.59%P25: -1.97%P50: -0.44%P75: 2.07%P95: 6.46%

Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 4.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.