Insights / kr
093370
후성KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.71%
P05–P95 span
27.56%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.45
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.02%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -17.13%P25: -3.25%P50: 0.71%P75: 4.10%P95: 10.43%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.