Insights / kr
093370
후성KR04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.47%
P05–P95 span
20.20%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.32%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.45%P25: -0.95%P50: 1.47%P75: 4.19%P95: 16.75%
Computed at: 04/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.