090430

아모레퍼시픽KR06/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.71%
P05–P95 span
21.61%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.57
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+2.29%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
2/5(40%)
Below median
3/5(60%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.48%P25: -2.14%P50: 0.71%P75: 2.86%P95: 14.13%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.