Insights / kr
090430
아모레퍼시픽KR04/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.38%
P05–P95 span
18.20%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.61%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.89%P25: -2.54%P50: 0.38%P75: 3.29%P95: 10.31%
Computed at: 04/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.