Insights / kr
090430
아모레퍼시픽KR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.23%
P05–P95 span
23.23%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.07%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.71%P25: -2.24%P50: -0.23%P75: 2.32%P95: 10.52%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.