Insights / kr
090430
아모레퍼시픽KR04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.73%
P05–P95 span
27.77%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.44
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.91%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -21.61%P25: -11.77%P50: -2.73%P75: 1.44%P95: 6.16%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.