088350

한화생명KR04/22/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.33%
P05–P95 span
9.97%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.19%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.52%P25: -2.12%P50: -0.33%P75: 1.84%P95: 5.44%

Computed at: 04/22/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.