086790

하나금융지주KR06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.66%
P05–P95 span
12.31%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+5.40%
Outer 90%
5/7(71%)
Middle 50%
3/7(43%)
Above median
5/7(71%)
Below median
2/7(29%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.56%P25: -1.11%P50: 0.66%P75: 3.33%P95: 7.75%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 21.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.