086790

하나금융지주KR05/26/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.52%
P05–P95 span
16.54%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.93%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.72%P25: -3.73%P50: -0.52%P75: 1.17%P95: 4.81%

Computed at: 05/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.